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  • About
  • Knowledge Centre
    • Economic Growth and the Business Cycle
    • Monetary Policy and Inflation
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    • Trade and Balance of Payments
    • Financial Markets
  • FX Forecasts
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  • Forecasting Tools
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Tag Archives: leading indicators

How to Identify Economic Turning Points

Economic Growth and the Business CycleBy Stuart AllsoppAugust 7, 2018Leave a comment

Intro: Not all economic indicators are created equal when it comes to their usefulness in predicting economic inflection points. Leading indicators such as profit margins, equity prices, and the yield curve tend to provide a useful guide to future changes in real GDP growth, while income and employment data merely reflect economic changes which have…

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